The crypto and stock markets are typically highly impacted by the US Treasury Dept issuing treasury bills to refill its Treasury account balance as it drains US dollar liquidity from financial markets. However, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes revealed the impact is not as critical as expected and risk assets like Bitcoin price will start to rally soon.
Arthur Hayes Bullish On Bitcoin Rally
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes on June 20 said the Treasury General Account (TGA) refill is not impacting risk markets as the US dollar net liquidity stands at $77 billion. He believes the TGA refill by the US Treasury Dept is nothing to worry about.
Arthur Hayes plans to buy crypto as the net liquidity index remains “positive.” If the index goes “negative,” he will slow down or stop his purchases. He predicts that US Treasury will slow down T-bills or debt issuance once the TGA balance is more than $450 billion.
TGA balance during the debt ceiling deal was below $40 billion, now it is $250 billion. The US Treasury is building its account balance without impacting financial markets and US dollar liquidity.
He has created a custom US dollar liquidity index to track how TGA refill will affect the US dollar liquidity. “I look at values of RRP and TGA as of their last print before the debt ceiling bill was signed on June 3rd. If RRP is falling that is +ve for $ liq, if TGA is rising that is -ve for $ liq. I look at the net of the two.”
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Crypto Market Rebound Is Clear
The crypto market continued upside momentum after the uncertainty surrounding US SEC lawsuits against Binance and Coinbase eased.
Bitcoin continues to move upside after rebounding from the expected $24,800 support level. Bitcoin price jumped above $27,000 today as a result of fresh buying from whales. BTC price currently trades at $26,796, up 2% in the last 24 hours.
Meanwhile, ETH price remains stable near $1750, up 0.50%. The 24-hour low and high are $1705 and $1750, respectively. Key events this week will impact Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.
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