- Cardano price is attempting a recovery rally on higher timeframes after a 35% fall from the July 12 high of $0.3793.
- The odds still favor the downside and ADA could fall 5% to test the support floor at $0.2415.
- Invalidation of the bearish outlook will occur once the altcoin records a three-day candlestick close above the $0.3082 level.
Cardano (ADA) price is attempting a recovery rally on the higher timeframes, recording three consecutive higher highs as indicated in the chart below. However, bulls must do more if the trend is to be sustained, with overhead pressure building up to cloud the token’s upward momentum.
Also Read: Altcoins lead crypto market crash as liquidations hit $73 million
Cardano bears eye a 15% slump
The Cardano (ADA) price recovery rally seems limited amid growing overhead pressure. It faces the initial resistance at $0.2710, with several other layers above it representing supplier congestion levels. Specifically, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2907 is critical, coinciding with the supply zone, which is an order block ranging from $0.2907 to $0.3292.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 level and edging south as momentum continues to fade. This is trailed by the lagging Awesome Oscillator (AO), still in the negative territory.
With these, Cardano price is likely to head lower, possibly tagging the support floor at $0.2415. In the dire case, the slump could continue, potentially going as low as the $0.2200 range low. Such a move would constitute a 15% slump below current levels.
ADA/USDT 3-day chart
Data from the on-chain aggregator “IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money” (GIOM) metric shows that a lot of supply barriers abound above for Cardano bulls, and will likely prevent ADA from achieving its upside potential. Based on this on-chain metric, multiple supplier congestion zones are present, with the first occurring between $0.2642 and $0.2945 where 251,880 addresses bought approximately 4.01 billion ADA tokens at an average price of $0.2795.
ADA GIOM
However, renewed buyer interest and therefore momentum could send Cardano price above the immediate $0.2710 hurdle, clearing the path into the supply zone at the $0.2907 level. A decisive three-day candlestick close above its midline at $0.3082 would invalidate the bearish outlook. Above and beyond, ADA could break out from the supply zone, flip it to a bullish breaker before tagging the 100-day EMA at $0.3472. Such a move would denote a 50% climb above current levels.
Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs
Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.
Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.
Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.
